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eco - Wolf Street - 2 days ago

Housing Bubble and Bust #1 and #2 as Seen through Employment at Mortgage Lenders and Mortgage Brokers

Nonbank mortgage lenders shed 40% of their jobs this time, and loan brokers 38%. They react to demand, which collapsed.

eco - Wolf Street - 2 days ago

Weirdest U.S. Labor Market I’ve Ever Seen: Supply of Labor Shrinks Further while Private-Sector Jobs Grow

Federal government sheds more jobs, now down to 1966 levels. This labor market isn’t bad, just weird.

eco - Wolf Street - 3 days ago

Prices of Used EVs Spike, from already Lofty Levels, as Gasoline Prices Spike. But Electricity Prices also Soared

High gasoline prices tilt operating costs in favor of EVs. But soaring electricity prices eat into that math.

eco - Wolf Street - 3 days ago
eco - Wolf Street - 4 days ago

Housing Market’s Crucial “Spring Selling Season” Is in Tatters

For the 4th year in a row: Normal-ish mortgage rates, too-high prices, and the "lock-in effect" from the Fed’s reckless interest-rate repression.

eco - Wolf Street - 5 days ago

New Single-Family Home Prices Drop Further amid Inventory Glut. But Lower Prices Beget Higher Sales

Inventory in the South still sky-high, up 60% from March 2019. But homebuilders understand what it takes: lower prices and big incentives.

eco - Wolf Street - 6 days ago

Bond Market on Edge: Treasury Yields Spike, 30-Year to 5.03%, Mortgage Rates to 6.52%, as Gulf War Reheats

Which raises a question: How many more Fed rate cuts would it take in this inflationary era to drive the 30-year Treasury yield to 6%?

eco - Wolf Street - 8 days ago

The US Government sold $723 billion of Treasury Securities this Week. Inflation Jumped and Met T-bill Yields

30-year Treasury yield looks like it’s setting up to break out past 5%. A rate cut while inflation is heating up could do it.

eco - Wolf Street - 9 days ago

Gap between Single-Family Rents and Multifamily Rents Widens to Record as Multifamily under Pressure

The big divergence of asking rents in 14 big metropolitan areas by single-family rentals and multifamily units.

eco - Wolf Street - 10 days ago

Inflation in the Entire US economy Is Rocking and Rolling, and It’s Not Just Energy

The 6-month core services PCE inflation index, accelerating since August, hit 3.7% annualized. Chip prices and software wreak havoc amid consumer electronics.

eco - Wolf Street - 10 days ago

Without Government Spending and Trade, GDP Rose by 2.5% in Q1, Boosted by AI Investments. Debt-to-GDP Ticks up to 122.6%

Consumer Spending Was OK-ish. Federal government spending spiked back partially after collapsing during the shutdown. Trade worsened.

eco - Wolf Street - 11 days ago

Regime Change: Powell, Chair of Mega-QE and “Ample Reserves Regime,” to Be Replaced by Warsh, who Wants a Smaller Balance Sheet

But Powell said he’d stay on as governor until “the investigation is well and truly over,” and promised “to keep a low profile” and support the new chair.

eco - Wolf Street - 11 days ago

This Fed Meeting Must Have Been a Hoot. Fed Holds Rates amid 4 Dissents, most since 1992: 1 Dovish, 3 Hawkish

“Inflation is elevated, in part reflecting the recent increase in global energy prices.” In part. And in part for other reasons.

eco - Wolf Street - 12 days ago
eco - Wolf Street - 13 days ago

Two More Imploded Real-Estate Brokerage Stocks Tie the Knot: REMAX -85% from Peak, Real Brokerage -70%

Been brutal for real-estate stocks plunging from overhyped or meme-stock valuations amid thick losses, lots of debt, and a frozen housing market: Compass, Redfin, Anywhere Real Estate, eXp, and Douglas Elliman.

eco - Wolf Street - 13 days ago

THANK YOU 💖 for Your Wonderful Support of WOLF STREET!!! If You Missed the Spring Reminder: Please Donate

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eco - Wolf Street - 15 days ago

US Government Sold $524 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. Inflation to Surpass T-Bill Yields. Brutal Bond Math

The effects of Tax Day. The 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 4.31%, 30-Year Treasury yield to 4.91%.

eco - Wolf Street - 16 days ago

Senate Confirmation of Warsh, who Wants to Reduce the Fed’s Balance Sheet, Gets Unstuck as DOJ Ends Powell Investigation

Even during the Senate hearings, Warsh stuck to his guns: the Fed should have a smaller balance sheet.

eco - Wolf Street - 17 days ago

Dynamics and Surging Magnitude of US LNG Exports: Started 10 Years Ago in a Glut of Natural Gas that Collapsed the Price

10th liquefaction and export terminal shipped first cargo. List of LNG export terminals, operating and under construction, by in-service date.

eco - Wolf Street - 17 days ago

Hedge-Fund Meme-Stock Short-Squeeze Queen Avis Budget [CAR] Implodes by 72% in 26 Hours

“Stairs up, express elevator down” as hedge funds sock it to each other.

eco - Wolf Street - 18 days ago

RTO Languishes Despite Efforts to Force it to Happen, only Minuscule Reduction in WFH since Early 2023

The share of “full paid days worked from home” has been declining by only about 1 percentage point per year.

eco - Wolf Street - 19 days ago

Did Americans Scrimp at Other Retailers to Buy Gas? Nope, not Americans. Born to Splurge

Even without gas stations, retail sales jumped, powered by ecommerce, auto dealers, general merchandise stores, and other retailers.

eco - Wolf Street - 19 days ago

Pending Home Sales Still in the Deepfreeze, Drop in the West and Midwest, Tick up in the South and Northeast 

Down by 35% from 2021, by 30% from 2019, and by 31% from 2018. The housing market is in the 4th year of this relentless mess.

eco - Wolf Street - 20 days ago

Condo Prices Dropped by 12% to 31% in 31 Bigger Markets. Some Are where They’d Been 20 Years ago, such as Oakland

Condos face some special challenges. Oakland (-31%), St. Petersburg, FL (-28%), Austin (-26%) … the names pile up.

eco - Wolf Street - 23 days ago

Nasdaq up by 60% since Liberation Day Selloff and by 100% in 3 Years. People Are Just Having Fun

While the Nasdaq gained 100%, the economy grew by 15% not adjusted for inflation. Who needs cryptos when stocks are so much fun.

eco - Wolf Street - 24 days ago

The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops and Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, March 2026

From the “Mansion Shortage” in AI-bubble-epicenter San Francisco infecting mid-tier home prices, to Austin and Oakland where prices plunged over 25% since 2022.

eco - Wolf Street - 25 days ago

The Largest Foreign Holders of US Treasury Securities and the “Basis Trade”: April 2026 Update

Foreign demand for the ballooning US Treasury debt is an increasingly important issue. But how much of that demand is actually “foreign?”

eco - Wolf Street - 26 days ago

Car and Truck Inflation in America: Cost of Vehicle Ownership Soared by 36% since 2020

Prices of new and used vehicles, insurance, gasoline, maintenance and repairs, parts and accessories, and fees.

eco - Wolf Street - 26 days ago

PPI Jumps by over 6% Month-to-Month Annualized for 3rd Month in a Row. Energy Price Spike just Latest Wrinkle

The hit from energy in March was softened as food and services briefly backed off. In prior months, services were the driver.

eco - Wolf Street - 27 days ago

Single-Family Home Sales Drop Further into Deepfreeze, Supply Hits 10-Year High, Condo Sales Plunge to Record Low

March was a lousy beginning of spring selling season. But mortgage rates ticked up only modestly.

eco - Wolf Street - 29 days ago

Dear Readers, Please Donate to WOLF STREET: Spring 2026 Reminder

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eco - Wolf Street - 30 days ago

US Government Sold $620 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 10-Year Yield Ends at 4.31%, 30-Year Yield at 4.91%

Those yields look too low for what’s coming at the bond market: The next wave of Inflation and a Fed that's comfortable with 3%+ core PCE inflation.