eco
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Wolf Street
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2
hours ago
Yen Craters to 4-Decade Low, JGB Yields at 3-Decade Highs: Monetary Policy Mess Comes Home to Roost
The collapse of a currency is nothing to be trifled with. But the BOJ's pussyfooted rate hikes and QT are too little too late.
eco
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Wolf Street
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1
day ago
Inflation and Nominal Economic Growth to the Rescue: The US Government’s Ugly Fiscal Mess
US Government interest payments, tax receipts, tariffs, average interest rate on the debt, and Debt-to-GDP ratio in Q1 2026.
eco
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Wolf Street
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5
days ago
Inflation in “Core Services” Surges, plus AI’s Impact on Electricity and Goods: Inflation beyond Gasoline
The 6-Month "core services" PCE price index jumped 4.2% annualized, pushed the 6-month core PCE to 4.1%, worst since June 2023.
eco
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Wolf Street
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11
days ago
Out Hiking in Europe. Shop (Partially) Closed through June
I’ll have sporadic access to the internet and will read the comments; if I turn into a night owl, I might write an article.
eco
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Wolf Street
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12
days ago
US Government Sold $518 Billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 6-Month to 2-Year Treasury Yields Spike on Warsh’s “Regime Change” at the Fed
The 1-year Treasury yield spiked by 16 basis points, to 4.0%, highest since July, three rate cuts ago, as the bond market now expects multiple rate hikes.
eco
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Wolf Street
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12
days ago
Era of “Powell Was Dovish” Is Over: Warsh’s Five Taskforces
I have to say the FOMC press conference was a breath of fresh air.
eco
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Wolf Street
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13
days ago
“Regime Change” at the Fed: Fed Chair Warsh Makes the First Moves
Everything is up for review. “There’s a taskforce for that,” he said. Dot plot, possibly the last one, turns hawkish.
eco
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Wolf Street
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14
days ago
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops and Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, May 2026
Home prices fell from peaks in prior years in 28 of the 33 cities, led by Austin -27% and Oakland -26%, while AI mania in San Francisco trickled down from “mansion shortage” to mid-tier.
eco
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Wolf Street
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15
days ago
Government Uses Strategic Petroleum Reserve as Cudgel to Beat Down Oil-Price Mania: Worked for Second Time
A new role for the SPR. It wasn’t designed for that.
eco
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Wolf Street
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17
days ago
US Government Sold $646 billion of Treasury Securities this Week. 2nd Wave of Inflation Approaches 10-Year Treasury Yield
How the long-term Treasury debt grows: Treasury notes and bonds outstanding rose on net by $59 billion this week.
eco
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Wolf Street
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18
days ago
Money-Market Funds and CDs: Americans and their Piles of Interest-Earning Cash as “Real” Yields Turn Negative
Inflation surged past these yields, though they've started to rise again. Households nevertheless poured more money into them.
eco
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Wolf Street
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19
days ago
What Homebuilder Lennar Said about the Tough Housing Market: Average Sales Price Down 24% from Peak, back to 2017
Cut the price, and they will buy. Dealing with the affordability crisis. Sales volume is up, but shares have plunged by nearly 50%.
eco
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Wolf Street
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19
days ago
Producer Price Inflation beyond Energy: 6-Month Services PPI, “Core” Goods PPI and “Core” PPI Blow by 6%, Worst since 2022
The surge in energy costs is bad, but there's a lot of inflation from other sources.
eco
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Wolf Street
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20
days ago
CPI Inflation 4.25%, Blows by 2-Year Treasury Yield, Closes in on 10-Year Treasury, Driven by “Supercore” Services, Gasoline, Electricity
Supercore services inflation surged, after taking off last fall. And AI data center demand drives electricity inflation.
eco
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Wolf Street
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21
days ago
Supply of Existing Single-Family Homes at 10-Year High, Condo Supply at 12-Year High, Sales still in Freezer
Compared to May 2019, sales were down the most in the West (-32%) and Northeast (-31%), less so in the South (-15%) and Midwest (-17%).
eco
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Wolf Street
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22
days ago
As Home Sellers Grapple with Reality, Listing Prices Fall by Most in at Least a Decade
But each market dances to a different drummer, and declines have been far bigger in many markets.
eco
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Wolf Street
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24
days ago
There’s Trouble Brewing in the Treasury Market
Inflation is the bane of the bond market. And it is now demanding multiple rate hikes, starting late this year.
eco
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Wolf Street
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25
days ago
Semiconductor Stocks Roll Over, Micron and Broadcom Tank 20% in 2 Days, Drag Rest of Market Along
We’re looking for culprits.
eco
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Wolf Street
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26
days ago
Job Growth Trend Turns Around Decidedly after Weakening for Years, while Immigration Crackdown Caps Supply of Labor
Some industries hired, others cut jobs: we zoom out with charts by major industry categories.
eco
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Wolf Street
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26
days ago
Who Needs Bitcoin and Cryptos (-50%) amid the Semiconductor and Miracle IPO Mania?
Rotating from mania to mania?
eco
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Wolf Street
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27
days ago
AI Investment Boom Sucks Up Hoarded Cash from Stock Market Investors and Companies, Sprays it into the Real Economy
It could break the stock market. But it’ll stimulate the economy. Just don’t expect inflation to cool on its own.
eco
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Wolf Street
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28
days ago
Housing Market’s Crucial “Spring Selling Season” Winds Down with a Whimper. So Maybe Next Year?
But mortgage rates are not high historically, and “real” mortgage rates, amid resurging inflation, are relatively low.
eco
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Wolf Street
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29
days ago
And More Data Showing a Weirdly Decent Labor Market
But this dynamic makes it harder for young people to find a job.
eco
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Wolf Street
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29
days ago
As Prices Spike, Manufacturing Expands at Fastest Rate in 4 Years, Orders Surge, Supplier Deliveries Slow
Amid improved automation and efficiencies, production rises, but employment doesn’t, or only a little.